UPDATE: Games will now take place on Friday. Same time and place.
So here we are.
With only three games left to make picks on (I won’t have predictions during the state tournament) I’ve come to the unfortunate realization that I will fall short of the goal I set for myself at the start of the season.
Way back in April, ok maybe it wasn’t that long ago, I said I wanted to predict 75% of the games correct. With three games to go my winning percentage currently stands at 73% (I took the ties out, big whoop). Even if I go a perfect 3-0 today I’ll still only finish at 74%. Just short of my goal.
Ahhh, such is life.
So here they are.
My sectional finals predictions.
Overall record: 48-18-2
Class A final
No. 1 North Rockland vs. No. 2 Suffern, 3:30 p.m.
Pick: Suffern, 13-11. My biggest concern with the Mounties was their youth. Yes, I understand the fact that the key sophomores have been on varsity since they were in eighth grade. That still doesn’t change the fact they are young and prone to make mistakes (i.e. giving up a large lead against Yorktown, going down 5-0 to the Red Raiders in there first meeting). Tuesday’s win against Scarsdale showed me Suffern can take a punch, so to speak, and still manage to come back with a run of their own. They are also one of the best transition teams I’ve seen all season.
North Rockland has done nothing for me to doubt its ability to repeat as sectional champions. If at this point you don’t consider Kaitlyn Rau one of the best girls lacrosse players in the area then you’re a fool. They also have the benefit of two senior leaders in Jeanie Peluso and Kelly Dowd.
Still, I picked Suffern to win it all when the brackets were first released and I’m sticking with it. I think when the Mounties are on they are just too good.
Class B final
No. 1 Yorktown vs. No. 3 John Jay, 5:30 p.m.
Pick: Yorktown, 12-11. After the Indians second loss to the Huskers, a 9-7 game at Yorktown, John Jay coach Christina Smith made it very clear her girls were looking forward to another crack at the Huskers.
“It’s very hard to beat a team three times in a season,” Smith said. “The girls are coming with a vengeance. I’m looking forward to playing them again.”
While Yorktown may have won both contests between these two teams, its first win came way back on March 30 when Emalee Mongno scored the game winner with just 36 seconds left, neither victory was convincing.
It’s no easy task to beat a team three times in a row. However, despite grabbing the top seed, Yorktown has been battled tested this tournament. Games against Brewster and Somers have kept the Huskers on their toes. Yorktown goalie’s Bianca Dente’s strong play down the stretch also doesn’t bode well for John Jay.
So, just like in Class A, I’m sticking with the team I picked to win it all from the get-go.
Class C final
No. 2 Putnam Valley vs. No. 12 Albertus Magnus, 7 p.m.
Pick: Putnam Valley, 11-10, OT.
Flip a coin.
You have a better chance letting fate decide this matchup than trying to pick it on your own.
Albertus is the Cinderella story that’s made the run from outbracket round to sectional final. Everything seems to be going right for the Falcons. It’s tough to pick against a team that almost seems destined to win.
The Tigers have done everything they’ve needed to do as a two seed, backed by their playmaker, Erin McCrudden.
I don’t like picking either team. I’ll probably change my mind at least 15 times before game time. But because I have to, I’ll pick the Tigers to win.
In overtime of course. This is Class C, after all.